Statsational Win Total Projections NFL 2016

Below is a table of the raw projections for wins and losses for each team this season based on the statsational algorithm. What you will notice is the teams with the elite QB’s are all shown as having value on betting the under. What we have seen over time is that these QB’s are able to outperform the projections and as such should not be faded. For example the largest… Read More »

2016 PGA Championship Recap

It turned out to be a horrible year for us.  Weather threw a wrench into everything, no round four action and I was on the wrong side of almost every multiple-unit play.  Round three underdogs underperformed and we were a total of about three strokes from making a big hit.  Sadly, that is how it goes sometimes.  Net -5.5 units for the PGA.  An awful cap to a generally disappointing… Read More »

2016 PGA Championship — Round 3

All dogs today.   Looking for big value… Hend +160 over Casey Lingmerth +130 over Grace Noren +107 over Simpson Donaldson +170 over Fowler Koepka +101 over Reed Grillo +200 over Day (1 unit each) Good luck and enjoy moving day. –plusfours  

2016 PGA Championship — Round 2 Recap

Mea culpa — there was a cut and paste error in yesterday’s action.  Kirk/Palmer was actually Kirk/McDowell (there was no Kirk/Palmer line as far as I know).  Sorry for the error. After all of yesterday’s action, we were flat on the day.  Equally surprising is that half of our tournament bets have already been closed out.  Every bet appears to be an easy win or a big loss.  Not too much… Read More »

2016 PGA Championship — Round 2

Off to a 2-1 start including a nice dog at +127.  The long-term outlook is not as positive but, there is a lot of golf to be played and today showed us to expect the unexpected.  I liked Rory over DJ and I’m not surprised to have a 3 shot lead after 18 holes.  I am, however, surprised to see them at +4 and +7.  DJ gave us his best… Read More »