2015 US Open at Chambers Bay

By | June 18, 2015

cape-fear

 

I have been bitching all week about the course and the setup.  Elitist traditionalists like me don’t understand the thinking behind a links style (maybe) course for the US Open.  Links courses introduce an element of randomness not found in traditional American golf and if (paraphrasing Sandy Tatum here) the object of the US Open is to identify the best players in the world, why would you introduce additional unpredictability?  I say this is maybe a links style setup because the even pros can’t agree what it is.  Phil says yes, Tiger says no.  Mike Davis says nothing.  He has been too busy conjuring up seven or eight hundred more unnecessary setup variables in advance of the first tee shot tomorrow.  It might be 7,800-yards, it might be a par 71, the ninth hole could play 100 feet down hill or it could play 60 feet uphill.  Hell, let’s just throw names in a hat and pick our a winner.  This is not what I want to see.  Give me Winged Foot from the tips, 6″ rough and greens that stimp around 14.5.  No gimmicks, just golf with the best players in the world.

Unfortunately, I don’t get a vote and we’re stuck with Chambers Bay.  Weather looks cooperative.  The train schedule does not.  Between passing freight trains, the players will be confronted by a long but very firm golf course that rewards players able to work it both ways.  The more important tee shots appear to favor a fade and the guy that can predict and control what happens after the ball hits the ground will have an advantage.  Expect lots of putters from off the greens and expect short putting to be less critical than prior Opens.  The greens should run around 11 (anything more and the slopes will be unmanageable) and better putters will lose their advantage.

I get the sense the books don’t know what to expect either.  Lines have been moving a lot and there is a great deal of inconsistency from book to book.  I have a nice list of off the radar guys but I can’t find any value with them because the lines suck.  There is especially little available for Day 1 action but here we go…

Props (to win it all):

Mickelson +1,600  (1/4 unit)

D Johnson +1,800 (1/4 unit)

Fowler +1,800 (1/4 unit)

Garcia +3,300 (1/4 unit)

Horschel +5,000 (1/4 unit)

Woods +5,000 (1/4 unit)

 

Tournament Head-to-Head Plays:

Mickelson +176 over McIlroy

Fowler +109 over Stenson

Garcia +109 over Furyk

Garcia +105 over Matsuyama

Horschel -106 over Koepka

Woods +168 over Koepka

An +124 over Casey

Moore +122 over Bradley

Holmes +101 over Dufner

Lowry -107 over Grace

Senden +117 over Luiten

 

Round 1 Head-to-Head Plays:

An + 111 over Koepka

Willett +101 over R Palmer

Rose +111 over Spieth

 

Let’s keep it in the short grass.  And pay attention, the last three majors of 2015 will play like a British Open (you’ll hear the same bitching and moaning in July and August); maybe we can learn something to use at St. Andrews and Whistling.

Best of luck,

plusfours

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