Bases Loaded: MLB July 23rd

By | July 23, 2014

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

At the risk of sounding like I’m beating a dead horse, I’m going to keep this short and sweet (If you missed it, here┬áis the link to yesterday’s write-up). We cashed yesterday on Houston +1.5 with an outright win, and all of the same logic applies to the game today. The total is the same, the juice is about the same, it’s pretty much the same game. Just a couple points:

1. Jesse Chavez is overrated. After spending his entire career as a mediocre middle reliever, the public believes he has somehow had a “breakout” season for Oakland as a starter this year. He has improved, yes. But to go from a middle reliever to a starter laying -290 on the ML in one season is an impossible leap.

2. Brad Peacock. Peacock, while not an all-star, has produced a solid year-over-year improvement from last year. His FIP has improved by 0.47, his ERA is down nearly a whole run, and he is not the auto-fade he was a year ago.

Again, the total is 7.5 and the juice on the run line is better than EV. Pretty much an auto-bet.

PLAY: [921] HOUSTON ASTROS +1.5 +115

MP Sports
Twitter: @MWPGT

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