Category Archives: CBB

Points Per Game

Points Per Game Playing defense is great but you will need to keep pace with great offenses come tournament time. 80 Teams have scored 73 PPG or less coming in to the tournament and had a 1-4 seed. 11 made the final 4 with no champions. This year there has been a change in the rules.  The shot clock has gone from 35 to 30 seconds.  This has caused more possessions… Read More »

Pre Season AP Rankings Can Predict Tournament Success

Pre Season AP Rankings can predict tournament success The following comes from a Nate Silver article in the NY Times before the 2011 tournament. Since the tournament field expanded to 64 teams in 1985, there have been 41 cases in which a school that was unranked to start the season entered the tournament ranked in the A.P. top 10 (excluding a couple of cases where the team was ineligible for… Read More »

Scoring Margin for Top 5 Seeds

Every year I publish a series of criteria for a final four and championship team to help you fill out your brackets.  I am going to go over a few individually and then put it all together when the brackets are released. Scoring Margin Using the PASE (Performance above seed expectations) stat from the now defunct Bracket Science the number one determinant of being able to outperform your seed expectation… Read More »

Statsational 5 Ways To Eliminate NCAA Tournament Pretenders

  There is absolutely nothing in sports that compares to the excitement of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. Everyone from the sharpest of sharps to your grandmother and her hair dresser are putting in a bracket pool entry somewhere. I do hours upon hours of research this time of year in the hopes of finding some angles worth playing. Let me share with you some of my thoughts on this… Read More »

Statsational’s 5 Ways To Narrow The Field of 64

The NFL may be my bread and butter but there is absolutely nothing in sports that compares to the excitement of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.  Everyone from the sharpest of sharps to your grandmother and her hair dresser are putting in a bracket pool entry somewhere.  I do hours upon hours of research this time of year in the hopes of finding some angles worth playing.  Let me share… Read More »