Category Archives: CBB

Picking a Bracket Is More Than Just Picking Who You Think Will Win

When the average person fills out a bracket the logic behind each of their picks is “who will win this game?” They will do that for every match-up along the way until they are left with one team standing. Does this sound familiar? I want to go over why this is not the way you should be picking your brackets. Over the last 2 years, I have gotten heavily involved… Read More »

2018 NCAA March Madness – Eliminating Teams From Your Brackets

The NCAA Mens Basketball Tournament is upon us once again and as always I will be breaking down 5 ways you can eliminate some top seeds from consideration. In picking potential final 4 teams and champions I find it much easier to eliminate teams from consideration to narrow down the selections. The criteria we will use to do this are as follows 1. Preseason AP Rankings vs Current Rankings 2.… Read More »

Points Per Game

Points Per Game Playing defense is great but you will need to keep pace with great offenses come tournament time. 80 Teams have scored 73 PPG or less coming in to the tournament and had a 1-4 seed. 11 made the final 4 with no champions. This year there has been a change in the rules.  The shot clock has gone from 35 to 30 seconds.  This has caused more possessions… Read More »

Pre Season AP Rankings Can Predict Tournament Success

Pre Season AP Rankings can predict tournament success The following comes from a Nate Silver article in the NY Times before the 2011 tournament. Since the tournament field expanded to 64 teams in 1985, there have been 41 cases in which a school that was unranked to start the season entered the tournament ranked in the A.P. top 10 (excluding a couple of cases where the team was ineligible for… Read More »

Scoring Margin for Top 5 Seeds

Every year I publish a series of criteria for a final four and championship team to help you fill out your brackets.  I am going to go over a few individually and then put it all together when the brackets are released. Scoring Margin Using the PASE (Performance above seed expectations) stat from the now defunct Bracket Science the number one determinant of being able to outperform your seed expectation… Read More »