July 10 ATL@NYM, PIT@STL, NYY@CLE, WAS@BAL

By | July 10, 2014

Rot # – Rotation number. The number posted on the casino board

Posted Odds – 5 Dimes line as of the post

Prob of Win – The models probability given to that team to win

True Odds – The models line

EV% – Expected Value % based on the models line and the posted line. Playing that game should net you that EV% back per bet over time.

Rot# Team Pitcher Posted Odds Prob of Win True Odds EV%
Away 955 ATL Harang 110 47.3% 111 -1%
Home 956 NYM Colon -120 52.7% -111 -3%
Away 957 PIT Volquez 105 45.5% 120 -7%
Home 958 STL Miller -115 54.5% -120 2%
Away 963 NYY Phelps 114 47.6% 110 2%
Home 964 CLE House -124 52.4% -110 -5%
Away 973 WAS Gonzalez 105 52.3% -110 7%
Home 974 BAL Chen -115 47.7% 110 -11%

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