July 9 Night Games

By | July 9, 2014

Rot # – Rotation number. The number posted on the casino board

Posted Odds – 5 Dimes line as of the post

Prob of Win – The models probability given to that team to win

True Odds – The models line

EV% – Expected Value % based on the models line and the posted line. Playing that game should net you that EV% back per bet over time.

 

 

Rot# Team Pitcher Posted Odds Prob of Win True Odds EV%
901 SD Stults 100 44.2% 126 -12%
902 COL Jurrjens -110 55.8% -126 7%
903 MIA Eovaldi 108 41.0% 144 -15%
904 ARI Collmenter -118 59.0% -144 9%
905 ATL Santana -114 49.6% 101 -7%
906 NYM Gee 101 50.4% -101 1%
907 CHC Beeler 140 44.8% 123 8%
908 CIN Simon -150 55.2% -123 -8%
909 PHI Hernandez 185 44.5% 125 27%
910 MIL Lohse -205 55.5% -125 -17%
911 PIT Cumpton 127 40.6% 146 -8%
912 STL Lynn -137 59.4% -146 3%
913 TOR Stroman 138 38.4% 160 -9%
914 LAA Wilson -148 61.6% -160 3%
915 NYY McCarthy 113 45.5% 120 -3%
916 CLE Tomlin -123 54.5% -120 -1%
917 CWS Sale -105 41.4% 142 -19%
918 BOS De La Rosa -105 58.6% -142 14%
919 KC Ventura 104 40.6% 146 -17%
920 TB Cobb -114 59.4% -146 11%
921 HOU Keuchel 184 37.4% 167 6%
922 TEX Darvish -195 62.6% -167 -5%
927 WAS Fister 108 50.2% -101 5%
928 BAL Norris -118 49.8% 101 -8%

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