MP’s Pigskin Picks – NCAA Football Week 4

By | September 19, 2014

We came out of last weekend with a 5-4 mark for our third winning week in a row to start the season. It was quite an eventful Saturday, with two top ten squads being defeated on the road. Georgia’s 35-38 defeat at South Carolina was the most notable game of the day. Dylan Thompson, after struggling through the Gamecocks’ first two contests, gutted Georgia’s defense to the tune of 271 yards and three touchdowns. As always, South Carolina was not nearly as bad as we thought, and Georgia was not the world-beating juggernaut we believed them to be. Classic early season perception gap.

Southern Cal’s defeat at ACC also-ran Boston College was far more puzzling. USC jumped out to a 17-6 lead in the second quarter, only to have their run defense completely wither and die as the game went along. The Eagles piled up 452 yards on the ground, led by former Florida quarterback Tyler Murphy’s 191. Seeing as USC was coming off a road win in Palo Alto against Stanford, this does not bode well for the Pac-12 as a whole. Oregon’s road to the playoff may be littered with overmatched opponents.

Oklahoma’s decimation of Tennessee was impressive, but the Volunteers had played over their heads against Utah State before a week 2 cakewalk. We really didn’t know much about them, and they were exposed as an inexperienced team with some rough edges. The Sooners, however, still just might be a true playoff contender who gives the Big 12 a puncher’s chance at the national championship.

FSU’s decision to suspend Jameis Winston had a huge ripple effect on the line, with Clemson immediately torpedoing from +20.5 to +14.5. This would indicate Jameis is worth 6 points per half. This is a bit of a stretch for any player, even one the caliber of the reigning Heisman Trophy winner. Regardless, it’s going to be tough for Clemson to run with the Seminoles down in Tallahassee, even with Winston on the sideline. FSU looks like a virtual lock for the playoff.

We start this week with a few off-the-grid moves (including one who cashed easily for us last week) in some of the smaller games. Good luck.

PLAYS:

309 Massachusetts +27.5 (MGM)
321 Central Michigan +4 (Greek)
341 Florida Atlantic +4 (Stations)

MP Sports
Twitter: @MWPGT

2014 Record:

NCAA FB: 21-14
NFL: 2-0

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *