SDG@LAD, LAA@TEX, DET@KAN, MIN@SEA July 10

By | July 10, 2014

Rot # – Rotation number. The number posted on the casino board

Posted Odds – 5 Dimes line as of the post

Prob of Win – The models probability given to that team to win

True Odds – The models line

EV% – Expected Value % based on the models line and the posted line. Playing that game should net you that EV% back per bet over time.

Rot# Team Pitcher Posted Odds Prob of Win True Odds EV%
959 SDG Despaigne 250 27.9% 259 -2%
960 LAD Kershaw -275 72.1% -259 -2%
965 LAA Santiago -125 55.8% -126 0%
966 TEX Lewis 115 44.2% 126 -5%
967 DET Smyly 102 53.6% -116 8%
968 KAN Guthrie -112 46.4% 116 -12%
969 MIN Pino 154 44.7% 124 13%
970 SEA Wilhelmsen -164 55.3% -124 -11%

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