Statsational NFL Week 1 Picks

By | September 2, 2014
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As I have stated in the past most handicappers hate week 1 because it is very difficult to know which teams are good and which teams are not early on.  Every year teams surprise in both a good way and bad way.  Last year Atlanta went from hosting the NFC Championship game to a 4-12 record.  Houston was a big Super Bowl pick after going 12-4 in 2012.  In 2013 they fell flat on their faces winning just 2 games.  Conversely Kansas City went from a 2 win team to a playoff team last season, winning its first 9.
Handicappers and odds makers alike do not really know who the top teams are going into the season.  They have their guesses based on past performance.  This is where the system has been able to exploit the early season number.  Last season we were able to go 10-2 in week 1.  The lines in week1 are sometimes a far cry from what the Week 16 lines would be in the same matchups.  It takes a few weeks before the oddsmakers catch up.

In summary things don’t always appear as they may be in the early weeks.  Every trend ATS shows that.  Week 1 picks can sometimes be scary but it is the tough bet that is often the best.

NFL Week 1

1. Dallas +5…………………..65%
2. Jacksonville +10………..64%
3. Tampa Bay -1……………60%
4. Miami +5………………….59%
5. Tennessee +4……………59%
6. Atlanta +3………………..57%
7. Seattle -5.5………………57%
8. Arizona -3.5……………..56%
9. Baltimore -1……………..55%
10. Denver -7………………..55%
11. Detroit -5………………..54%
For office pool use
St. Louis
Pittsburgh
NY Jets
Buffalo
Houston
BOL
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