Statsational Power Rankings Week 12

By | November 28, 2012

The Giants climb back into the top 5 this week by winning convincingly on Sunday night over another top 10 team in the Green Bay Packers.  Out of the top 5 are the Seattle Seahawks who continue to struggle on the road.  The Seahawks went into Miami a 3 point favorite but were unable to defeat the Dolphins and subsequently drop to 8th.  The Seahawks have put themselves in a more difficult situation to make the playoffs. While in the 6th spot in the NFC right now they are tied with Minnesota and Tampa and Washington, New Orleans and Dallas are on their heels. 

Denver continues to hold the top spot but the gap is much narrower than it has been.  San Francisco is just .13 off the lead with New England a point behind them.

Atlanta at 10-1 still struggles to get into the top 5.  They win but not impressively and as such the computer has rated them low.  I think the public is probably in agreement with the computer.  Atlanta is a team that the public is not believing in yet.

Game of the Week
Seattle @ Chicago -4
Other games may sound sexier but this game features 2 potential playoff teams in the NFC and 2 of the top defenses in all of football.  Chicago ranks 3rd in my defensive rankings and Seattle ranks 4th.  Do not expect either team to pass it very well.  Our model is looking for 157 passing yards from Seattle and 147 from Chicago.  Both teams will look to run it.  Both are top 10 rushing teams.

Biggest Mismatch
Houston @ Tennessee +5.5
In what seems to be a trap line the Titans are getting just 5.5 points from the Texans this week albeit in Memphis.  Houston ranks 4th while Tennessee 29th.  The Titans just lost to the worst team in the league the Jacksonville Jags.  Houston won a controversial game at Detroit on Thanksgiving.  On paper Tennessee can not stay with Houston but as we have seen these games sometimes do not go as conventional wisdom would lead you to think.

Worst Matchup
Jacksonville @ Buffalo -6
There are a few clunkers on the schedule this week but this one takes the cake.  Buffalo is still hoping for a playoff spot but in our rankings they are just 26th.  We all know how bad Jacksonville is ranked dead last.  The Jags have shown some life recently with Chad Henne behind center.  Buffalo can run it and Jacksonville has a hard time stopping the run.  We look for Buffalo to be able to control clock and run the ball on the Jags.

Rank Teams Power Rating
1 Denver 29.43
2 San Francisco 29.30
3 New England 28.29
4 Houston 26.87
5 NY Giants 25.61
6 Chicago 25.27
7 Atlanta 24.85
8 Seattle 23.73
9 Pittsburgh 23.61
10 Green Bay 23.39
11 Detroit 23.23
12 Baltimore 23.20
13 Dallas 22.97
14 Cincinnati 22.17
15 Washington 22.16
16 Tampa Bay 21.43
17 Minnesota 20.73
18 San Diego 20.69
19 Carolina 20.55
20 St. Louis 19.67
21 New Orleans 19.46
22 NY Jets 19.12
23 Arizona 18.68
24 Cleveland 18.34
25 Indianapolis 17.73
26 Buffalo 17.67
27 Philadelphia 17.66
28 Miami 17.59
29 Tennessee 15.90
30 Kansas City 15.01
31 Oakland 14.54
32 Jacksonville 12.76

Rank Teams Strength Of Schedule
1 Carolina 23.08
2 NY Jets 22.75
3 St. Louis 22.66
4 Dallas 22.55
5 NY Giants 22.22
6 Arizona 22.10
7 Seattle 22.09
8 Green Bay 22.01
9 Philadelphia 22.00
10 New Orleans 21.71
11 Washington 21.69
12 Kansas City 21.58
13 Cleveland 21.58
14 Detroit 21.50
15 San Francisco 21.48
16 Denver 21.47
17 Buffalo 21.38
18 Tennessee 21.31
19 Jacksonville 21.31
20 Minnesota 21.19
21 Chicago 21.14
22 Oakland 20.90
23 Baltimore 20.84
24 San Diego 20.56
25 Tampa Bay 20.53
26 Pittsburgh 20.34
27 Atlanta 20.22
28 New England 20.16
29 Cincinnati 20.05
30 Houston 20.02
31 Miami 19.56
32 Indianapolis 19.25
NFC East 22.10 W L
NY Giants 25.61 7 4
Dallas 22.97 5 6
Washington 22.16 5 6
Philadelphia 17.66 3 8
NFC North 23.15 W L
Chicago 25.27 8 3
Green Bay 23.39 7 4
Detroit 23.23 4 7
Minnesota 20.73 6 5
NFC South 21.57 W L
Atlanta 24.85 10 1
Tampa Bay 21.43 6 5
Carolina 20.55 3 8
New Orleans 19.46 5 6
NFC West 22.84 W L
San Francisco 29.30 8 2
Seattle 23.73 6 5
St. Louis 19.67 4 6
Arizona 18.68 4 7
AFC East 20.67 W L
New England 28.29 8 3
NY Jets 19.12 4 7
Buffalo 17.67 4 7
Miami 17.59 5 6
AFC North 21.83 W L
Pittsburgh 23.61 6 5
Baltimore 23.20 9 2
Cincinnati 22.17 6 5
Cleveland 18.34 3 8
AFC South 18.31 W L
Houston 26.87 10 1
Indianapolis 17.73 7 4
Tennessee 15.90 4 7
Jacksonville 12.76 2 9
AFC West 19.92 W L
Denver 29.43 8 3
San Diego 20.69 4 7
Kansas City 15.01 1 10
Oakland 14.54 3 8

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