Statsational Week 15 Power Rankings

By | December 19, 2012

The top two teams come from the AFC but once again all of the NFC divisions are rated higher than the AFC divisions.  Despite their home loss, the Patriots remain the number 1 team in the Rankings this week.  Denver actually jumps the triumphant Niners with their big win at Baltimore.  The Niners do increase their power number and are the top team in the NFC.  Seattle looked great in Buffalo and solidifies itself at number 4.  After that things get tight from 5-9.

The NFC East has tightened up with 3 teams tied at the top at 8-6.  The rankings still have the Giants as the best of the 3 but if the playoffs started today it would be Washington who wins that division.  The final game of the year in Washington against the Cowboys could be for the division and a playoff spot.

Game of the Week
San Francisco @ Seattle +1

The top two NFC teams in the rankings square off in an NFC West division battle.  The Seahawks still have an outside chance of winning the division but that would mean a win this week.  In their last meeting it was a defensive battle but now both offenses have been getting hotter with their young quarterbacks at the helm.  Seattle has put up 50 points in back to back games while SF scored 41 at Foxboro last week.  Neither will get to those totals this week as the Seahawks are 2nd in defense while the 49ers are tops.  The total is 39 and our models have this game even lower than that.  San Francisco ranks 8th in offense and Seattle 9th.  SF is 4th in rushing while Seattle 3rd, SF is 26th in passing and Seattle is 27th.  These teams are very tight.  Look for this to go right down to the wire.

Biggest Mismatch of the Week
New England @ Jacksonville +14.5

The only way this could get worse is if it were in New England.  The Patriots rank number 1 while Jacksonville is dead last.  The line actually seems a bit low especially with the Patriots coming off a loss at home but covering 14.5 on the road is tough no matter who the opponent.  The model looks for 471 total yards from the Pats.  The Jags rank 29th in defense which is a scary proposition against the top rated offense.  Tough to see this game being very close.

Worst Matchup
Indianapolis @ Kansas City +6.5

The Colts remain a top team in the standings but near the bottom on our rankings.  They are the most overrated team in the league.  The Chiefs of course are what they are and that is a bottom of the league team.  The Colts thus far have played the easiest schedule in the league and this weeks matchup will not do anything to change that.  The Colts are best at passing it ranked 8th in the league but the Chiefs can stop the pass ranked 4th in defensive passing.  This game may not be as big a blowout as expected.

Rank Teams Power Rating
1 New England 29.54
2 Denver 29.17
3 San Francisco 28.87
4 Seattle 27.48
5 Houston 25.87
6 Atlanta 25.06
7 NY Giants 24.49
8 Chicago 24.06
9 Green Bay 24.01
10 Pittsburgh 23.31
11 Cincinnati 23.03
12 Washington 23.00
13 Dallas 22.86
14 Carolina 22.34
15 Baltimore 22.19
16 Detroit 21.87
17 New Orleans 21.37
18 Minnesota 20.43
19 Tampa Bay 19.92
20 St. Louis 19.88
21 San Diego 19.73
22 Miami 19.17
23 NY Jets 18.71
24 Indianapolis 18.14
25 Philadelphia 17.84
26 Cleveland 17.83
27 Arizona 17.41
28 Buffalo 16.78
29 Tennessee 16.33
30 Oakland 15.40
31 Kansas City 13.64
32 Jacksonville 11.86
Rank Teams Strength Of Schedule
1 St. Louis 22.48
2 Carolina 22.37
3 Arizona 22.47
4 Dallas 22.50
5 NY Giants 22.23
6 Washington 21.89
7 NY Jets 21.56
8 New Orleans 21.89
9 Green Bay 22.07
10 Seattle 21.54
11 Philadelphia 21.88
12 Minnesota 21.46
13 Tennessee 21.30
14 Chicago 21.56
15 Detroit 21.02
16 Baltimore 21.84
17 Kansas City 20.76
18 Oakland 20.75
19 San Francisco 21.76
20 Miami 20.47
21 Tampa Bay 20.94
22 Denver 21.09
23 Jacksonville 20.60
24 San Diego 20.75
25 Buffalo 21.03
26 Cleveland 20.73
27 Pittsburgh 20.77
28 New England 21.10
29 Cincinnati 20.23
30 Houston 20.20
31 Atlanta 20.49
32 Indianapolis 19.88
NFC East 22.05 W L
NY Giants 24.49 8 6
Washington 23.00 8 6
Dallas 22.86 8 6
Philadelphia 17.84 4 10
NFC North 22.59 W L
Chicago 24.06 8 6
Green Bay 24.01 10 4
Detroit 21.87 4 10
Minnesota 20.43 8 6
NFC South 22.17 W L
Atlanta 25.06 12 2
Carolina 22.34 5 9
New Orleans 21.37 6 8
Tampa Bay 19.92 6 8
NFC West 23.41 W L
San Francisco 28.87 10 3
Seattle 27.48 9 5
St. Louis 19.88 6 7
Arizona 17.41 5 9
AFC East 21.05 W L
New England 29.54 10 4
Miami 19.17 6 8
NY Jets 18.71 6 8
Buffalo 16.78 5 9
AFC North 21.59 W L
Pittsburgh 23.31 7 7
Cincinnati 23.03 8 6
Baltimore 22.19 9 5
Cleveland 17.83 5 9
AFC South 18.05 W L
Houston 25.87 12 2
Indianapolis 18.14 9 5
Tennessee 16.33 5 9
Jacksonville 11.86 2 12
AFC West 19.48 W L
Denver 29.17 11 3
San Diego 19.73 5 9
Oakland 15.40 4 10
Kansas City 13.64 2 12
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